Saturday, January 27, 2007

Brady vs Manning

The debate is over! There is no longer any doubt which of the two "franchise" quarterbacks is the reigning king of the pigskin passers. (This will come as no surprise to any regular readers of JMO, however, there are statistics and reasons to follow) The winner is:

Tom Brady


How can this be when Peyton has won the last three times these two powerhouse teams have clashed? I'll tell you how. Peyton is 1-3 vs Tom in the playoffs. Scoring only 3 points in one contest and losing by multiple scores in his other two losses. For Manning to remove the crown from Tom's head and earn the right to wear it himself, he had to blow the Patriots out of the water. A performance in which the Colts won by 4 points and only lead for about a minute in the game was not nearly enough for the wannabe leader to overcome the current king.

The Patriots lost the first meeting this season by a score of 27-20. That's a fairly convincing victory. Let's look at a statistic that makes the score seem a bit more interesting: The Patriots had five (5) turnovers in that game! Three interceptions and two fumbles. Two of the interceptions were perfectly thrown passes that were misplayed by Brady's wide receivers and caught by fortunate Indianapolis defensive backs. That makes one interception that Brady could be faulted for (and that one was not converted into points by the Colts.) With such a turnover disparity, a truly amazing QB would have won by a much greater margin than Manning managed.

Manning apologists like to claim that Brady is a "system" quarterback. Meaning that he isn't great on his own, it's Belichick's system that makes him great, along with great receivers like Troy Brown. These people point to Brady's quick passes, underneath routes and passing on third and short. These same people have now pointed to the playoff victory by Peyton as their proof that he is better than Tom. The funny part about this is that Manning won the game on quick passes, underneath routes, and passing on third and short. (Passing on 3rd and short has been one of the strategies that raised Peyton's passer rating this year. He's got a passer rating in the high 50s on 1st and 2nd down, but his 3rd down rating is in the low 100s! Hello passing on third and short.) The biggest difference is Brady's ability to connect down the field. Recall the 3rd and long vs the Chargers, and Brady's 2 passes over 20 yards vs the Colts. Recall Peytons 0 passes that travelled 20+ yards in the air. Yes, there were a few passes that go in the record book as 20+ yards, but all of them were passes for less than 10 yards with a great run after the catch. Recall also the two major drops by Gaffney, one in the end zone and one when he was wide open and would have scored had he caught the stinkin' ball! Had either of those passes been completed we might be seeing a different team in the Big Game.

The biggest test of a quarterback is the post season. Peyton Manning has had 5 games where his passer rating was sub-fifty. Included in those five games were three that were sub-forty! Three of those five games were in the post season: One when the Colts were shut out by the Jets, and two against the Patriots. And even in his most recent victory against the Patriots, Mannings passer rating was lower than Brady's! Peyton was kept out of the end zone by Baltimore and unable to attain a higher passer rating vs New England. The post season is where Brady shines and where Manning disappears.

One final point: Peyton managed to squeeze out a four point victory with a supporting cast consisting of Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne, and Dallas Clark. The Patriots carried six receivers this year. Will everyone other than Apu please name two Patriot receivers that have not been mentioned already in this post, and a tight end. How'd you do? Basically, Peyton, along with 3 all Pro players managed to eek out a four point victory over Brady, a 40 year old Troy Brown, and a bunch of journeymen and rookies.

The debate is done. Even in defeat, Brady is clearly the best quarterback in the NFL today!

Is it just my opinion? I believe the facts speak for themselves. (If you'd like more, feel free to visit www.coldhardfootballfacts.com)

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dude! Can we get a political post, please?!?!

Apu said...

That would be Wide Eyes Reche that dropped the two key passes...Gaffney also dropped a few, but he wasn't wide open in the end zone. He actually made a heady play on the TD where the refs said he was forced out of bounds.

Of course Brady is the best...but now its a rivalry, now that Peyton has won one...even if the refs gave it to him. I was almost over the loss until the NFL apologized. Get used to it America...Colts-Pats every January until either Brady or Manning calls it quits. I love it!

Wouldn't you agree that Brady-Manning is akin to Chamberlain-Russell, DiMaggio-Williams, Bird-Magic, etc.? The two names will forever be linked. They only can add to each other's legacies when compared. Some think this Brady-Manning debate is getting old...rather it is only getting started.

Only 20 something days until pitchers (including my new binkie Daisuke Matsuzaka) and catchers report. Woo hoo!

Anonymous said...

I second Ali's comment!! Let's just say "DA BEARS win the Super Bowl" next Sunday and leave it at that. Heh heh heh... :P

Chi-town's ready:
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/photos?photoId=1410543&gameId=270121003

Anonymous said...

Marc,
As Apu pointed out - 20something days til pitchers report! Did you see the news about MLB selling out to DirectTV? Any thoughts/rants on this? As if the games going to NESN wasn't bad enough, huh???

And, a political post sometime, too! So much to talk about -- so many 2008 candidates already on the road...what say you?

how's life in CT?

Apu said...

I love the sports, but I'll join in the chorus as well: may we have a political post?

potential topics (to help you get going): the congressional elections in fall 2006, deval, everyone and their mom is running for president, scooter libby (I don't understand anything about that whole situation) and of course Iraq. Maybe you can give us the inside scoop on Joe Lieberman since you live in CT. Whose side is he on?

how about the media? I bet you can do that post with your eyes closed. I made the unfortunate mistake of watching 2 minutes of a Katie Couric reponse to the State of the Union. How did CBS get from Edward Murrow (I just watched Good night, Good Luck where he was played by David Stratham) to Katie Couric? They don't make news guys like him anymore...

or how about this? Schilling to run for political office after he retires? would he be a viable candidate? tremendously popular, but pretty much a political unknown...sounds like a certain charismatic senator from IL. If you do Schilling vs. Kerry then you can combine sports and politics.

I look forward to reading just your opinions.

Anonymous said...

First of all, Manning is not 1-3 against Tom Brady in the playoffs. Manning is 1-2 against the PATRIOTS DEFENSE in the playoffs. Brady is 2-1 against the COLTS defense in the playoffs. If Brady had any other defense in the Rams Super Bowl he would have lost, other than that drive he did nothing at all that game. As far as Manning having better weapons, he's going up against a MUCH more formidible defense. And even though Brady has smaller names to throw to, he has the overall team balance that's essential to consistent winning. Remember Don Shula's No-Name Defense? That was always one of the best in the NFL, and you can not name me anyone other than Buonicotti that played for them. The fact that the names aren't well-known doesn't mean they're bumbling, incompetent fools.